Empowering Women in Finance

In the traditionally male-dominated field of financial advice, a glaring gender gap persists with women making up only 15-20% of professionals in the industry.1 A Carson Group study found women in wealth management face distinct barriers, notably caregiving obligations and a male-dominated culture, which significantly impacts their career trajectories.2 Moreover, the study highlighted flexibility as …

What Is It Like to Go on TV?

“I don’t know what they are going to ask me, but I know what I’m going to tell them.” -Ryan Detrick I was in New York City on Tuesday for a day trip to do some media. We’ve been trying to find a time that worked for awhile and I was able to fly in …

Who Holds US Government Debt, and How Much Does It Matter?

We get a lot of questions about US debt, and a lot of concerns revolve around the fact that foreigners hold a lot of it. The question typically is: What happens if they decide to sell, especially the Chinese? I’m going to dive into all of it in this blog. The US government has a …

3 Reasons Why This Is a Unique Labor Market

The economy has stayed surprisingly resilient in the face of the most aggressive Federal Reserve (Fed) in 40+ years. A large part of that has to do with a strong labor market that has surprised a lot of economists and market watchers. Now, employment is certainly slowing from its torrid pace earlier this year, but …

Three Reasons Stocks Might Shine in the Usually Weak September

“If you torture numbers enough they will tell you anything.” -Hall of Fame and Yankee great Yogi Berra After the best start to a new year over the first seven months for the S&P 500 since 1997, stocks finally fell in August, ending a five-month win streak. In the end the S&P 500 was down …

This Is Normal: Part 2

At the beginning of the year, we titled our 2023 Outlook “The Edge of Normal”, as we expected markets and the economy to normalize in 2023. What we saw as the year progressed confirmed that view, so much so that our Mid-Year Outlook was titled “Edging closer to Normal”. Normalization has now continued into August. …

Busting 7 Common Myths

We’ve been hearing many of the same myths over and over, yet we don’t think they are the big worry that the media and many make them out to be. These are legitimate concerns and have many investors worried, but we think the chances of them becoming larger issues are smaller than many expect.  We …

This Is Normal

“Who you gonna believe, me or your own eyes?” Groucho Marx Nearly right on cue, stocks have had a rough August. We noted at the start of the month that the odds were high for some type of seasonal weakness, coupled with many of the longtime bears suddenly changing their tunes. The good news is …

Thinking About Risks to The Outlook

We started the year believing the economy would avoid a recession and that markets would rebound, and everything that’s happened since has mostly reinforced that view, which we outlined in our Mid-Year Outlook. At the same time, investing is about dealing with probabilities as opposed to thinking in terms of binary outcomes. Ryan and I …

The Choreography of Business Cycles: An Unusual Dance

“Life is like dancing. If we have a big floor, many people will dance. Some will get angry when the rhythm changes. But life is changing all the time” – Miguel Angel Ruiz A “rolling recession,” as some have described the current economy, is like a dance of ever-changing business dynamics. It happens when a …

Nvidia’s Exceptional Q2 Earnings & Outlook Support Investor Optimism About (AI)

“AI is the most profound technology that humanity will ever develop and work on. [More profound] than fire or electricity or the internet.” – Sundar Pichai, Google CEO Nvidia’s much-anticipated second quarter earnings surged past lofty expectations by 30%, propelling shares to a new all-time high. The heartening aspect of the report for investors is …

Questions to Consider During a Market Downturn

Questions to Consider During a Market Downturn

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